Is Al-Shabab Trying to Pull the US Into A Military Quagmire in Africa?

John Glaser, September 25, 2013
U.S. Army Spc. Tyler Meehan observes Kenyan trainees

U.S. Army Spc. Tyler Meehan observes Kenyan trainees

In a discussion on NPR’s Morning Edition yesterday, host Steve Inskeep asked Bronwyn Bruton, deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Africa Center, an important question regarding the massacre in Kenya by the Somali terrorist group al-Shabab:

INSKEEP: Is there a danger here for the United States, because perhaps one of the reasons – if you’re a terror group – that you would mount an attack like this in the shopping mall, is to suck in the United States in some way.

BRUTON: Absolutely, that was their goal in Somalia. Certainly it was al-Qaida’s goal in Somalia to attempt to draw the U.S. into yet another quagmire, it didn’t succeed. But they will certainly attempt to draw the U.S. into Nairobi. The United States will certainly feel pressure to assist and respond.

Victims are still being pulled from the rubble in Nairobi, Kenya, but a more involved U.S. response is already becoming apparent. Over at The American Interest, Walter Russell Mead writes that “last weekend’s terror attack in Kenya appears to be boosting chances that U.S. engagement in Africa will grow.” Mead cites a Wall Street Journal report that the terrorist attacks in Kenya, and in Nigeria before that, “could speed up U.S. engagement in the continent’s terrorism problems.”

Before considering the potential for the U.S. to get sucked into a quagmire in East Africa, it’s important to know just how involved the U.S. has been up to this point. About a year ago, the Los Angeles Times reported that the U.S. was “heavily engaged” in Somalia, “[o]nly this time, African troops are doing the fighting and dying. The United States is doing almost everything else.”

The U.S. has been quietly equipping and training thousands of African soldiers to wage a widening proxy war against the Shabab, the Al Qaeda ally that has imposed a harsh form of Islamic rule on southern Somalia and sparked alarm in Washington as foreign militants join its ranks.

Officially, the troops are under the auspices of the African Union. But in truth, according to interviews by U.S. and African officials and senior military officers and budget documents, the 15,000-strong force pulled from five African countries is largely a creation of the State Department and Pentagon, trained and supplied by the U.S. government and guided by dozens of retired foreign military personnel hired through private contractors.

This strategy of encouraging regional African nations to conduct war on Somalia isn’t new. Close observers will remember the Bush administration backed Ethiopia’s 2006 invasion of Somalia to depose the Islamic Courts Union, with unflattering consequences.

And keep in mind, these African governments the U.S. is bankrolling to fight a proxy war in Somalia are no peacekeepers.

Kenya, for example, “has been one of the largest recipients of U.S. State Department Anti-Terrorism Assistance (ATA) in the world,” writes Jonathan Horowitz at Foreign Policy, despite the fact that this assistance has been “aiding and abetting human rights violations,” like “detainee abuse, denial of fair trial guarantees, extrajudicial killings, or unlawful extraditions.”

“Kenya’s President Uhuru Kenyatta faces a trial in the International Criminal Court for backing ethnic violence that left hundreds dead in late 2007,” the Wall Street Journal reports. “The charges, which he denies, have added an awkwardness to the U.S. relationship.”

There is a similar story for Uganda. In 2011, President Obama sent more than 100 combat troops to Uganda to help Ugandan security forces with domestic security, essentially as a bribe to keep Ugandan military forces in the proxy war in Somalia. Since the troop deployment and the increases in aid and military assistance, the Ugandan regime has been “increasingly placing illegitimate restrictions on freedom of expression and peaceful assembly to silence critical voices,” according to Amnesty International.

So one part of the U.S.’s involvement in Somalia has been to send money, weapons, and training to accused war criminals so they can attack Somalia on Washington’s behalf. The other part is a more direct, covert war.

In a number of articles in 2011, The Nation‘s Jeremy Scahill uncovered Obama’s covert war in Somalia, which included secret prisons run by CIA proxies, harsh interrogations, and the funding and training of unscrupulous militants many of whom were former (and current?) warlords. The “counter-terrorism” effort in Somalia also included “targeted strikes by U.S. Special Operations forces, drone attacks and expanded surveillance operations.”

Scahill noted “U.S. policy on Somalia [since "Black Hawk Down"] has been marked by neglect, miscalculation and failed attempts to use warlords to build indigenous counterterrorism capacity, many of which have backfired dramatically.”

It was important that these interventions were secret, kept from Congress, the American people, and the international community. One of the reasons for that was revealed when, in 2012, the UN Security Council Committee Chairman issued a letter warning against the increased use of drones over the skies of Somalia, saying such actions may violate international law.

So the U.S. has been deeply involved in destabilizing Somalia for decades and such policies have intensified in the past few years under Obama. Given the rather obvious failure of these policies (Scahill argues “U.S. policy has strengthened the hand of the very groups it purports to oppose and inadvertently aided the rise of militant groups, including the Shabab”), will Washington cut its losses or double down?

It’s hard to say. For all Obama’s faults, he has been acutely cautious of getting into another boots-on-the-ground quagmire in yet another Muslim country. But al-Qaeda, which is formally linked with al-Shabab, has been quite successful in their attempts to draw superpowers into bloody, expensive and seemingly endless wars. They did it to us in Afghanistan…and we’re still there 12 years later.




10 Responses to “Is Al-Shabab Trying to Pull the US Into A Military Quagmire in Africa?”

  1. So…. Kony 2030?

  2. [...] Is Al-Shabab Trying to Pull the US Into A Military Quagmire in Africa? (antiwar.com) [...]

  3. These terrorist are the work and presented by Saudis and UAE to widen the Middle East and Africa war connecting the ideas in militarizing the both area. Libya was about African and Al shahab is made for that reason as the Saudis barbarians using chemical weapon for USA to invade Syria. Its been proven that USG somehow involved in training elements that can be used, like where US training FSA, as they called "good rebel", in turkey and Jordan which are the root of the problems in Syria, adding to that is Saudis barbarians that waiting at the gate to be sent in to fight the Syrian people. Before Afghanistan or Iraq war conducted by USG and EU there wasn't any of these kind of terrorist existed until George W. Bush the Sr, meet Wahhabi family where Osama bin laden and his Islamist gang was born. From that point on and for USG to start another war the reasons that are given is two, 1-terrorists 2-national security. The war on terrorism have lead the USG and EU all the way into Libya which by know the evidence shows that it was UAE and Saudis behind that war and Islamist terrorists are the one controlling the country and Libyan weapons shipped to where a new war is started. The argument in national security has become an hourly if not by the minute argument which has produced the NSA which their primary job is to spy on everyone in this world that can use a cell phone.

    USG can not rely on the Europeans to follow chosen war by USG any longer, after Iraq war many of European government redirected their policies in USG warmongering, at the same time for last decade European have started to feel the economic pinch of these wars and for that reason and to some point even England is backing off. Therefore, USG is left with two option which under Obama they are following both. One- is to find a new ground militarizing the area isolating China and Russia which is the reason for USG paying small to large countries to station their military bases, arguing the same old story "terrorists are coming" and two is to use these rebels-terrorists with help from what is left for USG to ask for help, Saudis and UAE and their barbarians. In return they will supply the USA Democratic Party, or for that matter McCain with much as they want money and "moral" Israeli support while USG is expending their territory in Islamization. There are two ideas in this world which can stop the growth of a functioning democracy, one is religious, the other is fascism. It seams that both ideas, one as THE NEO and the other as THE stone aged I delusional idea and fully geared for Third World War.

  4. [...] Is Al-Shabab Trying to Pull the US Into a Military Quagmire in Africa? by John Glaser [...]

  5. I don't see a need for al-Shabab, or Al-Qaida or any other group to try to draw America into a new war. We already have an abundance of American govt officials and mouthpieces who have already been doing that for years with no end in sight.

  6. The U.S. is responsible for creating the entire situation that exists in Somalia today. So how could the U.S. be drawn in when it was already there? Unless you meant to say now that the U.S. has created a catastrophe in Somalia they will use previous colonial meddling to escalate with direct involvement including boots on the ground.

  7. Whst government funded organization does the author of this article work for?
    Clever attempt to jusrify enen more US involvement than already ongoing for over 20 damn years.
    It was the Kenyans who eent into a portion of Somalia and with other AU troops went butcher.
    Odd jpw author and all misinformation folk gloss over the history of British barbarism where they paid for the heads of those tribals that opposed their rule and rulets

    Also the so call brutality no Kenyas 0pres is not a saint.but he had to prove to US, Brit, and French Dutch Interest just how toygh he could be to recieve tens of millions in charity and military aid.
    The US has benn one of worlds most blodfy bastard of a nation for one damned ling while and if the author thinks he can gain brownie points with the present U S conytrolled media he had best be prepared to defend his bull shit evvery where else.

  8. [...] Is Al-Shabab Trying to Pull the US Into a Military Quagmire in Africa? by John Glaser [...]

  9. Not so much "drawn in" as expanded involvement. I'll bet the US knew about the Mall attack long before it was launched, perhaps even planned it. They've probably infiltrated al-Shabaab already, who are joining al-Qaeda, a CIA funded and directed asset. What use is the NSA if they can't pick up traffic from al-Shabaad's tweets and other comms? Another false flag op by the looks of it.

  10. It was important that these interventions were secret, kept from Congress, the American people, and the international community. One of the reasons for that was revealed when, in 2012, the UN Security Council Committee Chairman issued a letter warning against the increased use of drones over the skies of Somalia, saying such actions may violate international law.