MY FIRST
CONSPIRACY THEORY
I
think that the reason we went to war in the Balkans was the time-honoured
reason for all forms of evil, the European Union. Now you are
going to say, not again. Just as he was beginning to talk about
conspiracies and Kosovo, up pops his far less sexy obsession with
the EU. Bor-ing. Hear me out. The EU wants the nations of the
Balkan region to sign a "non-aggression" pact. Most
nations want to sign this pact, but a few do not. So, with the
backing of their American allies they coerce one of the few remaining
recalcitrant powers into submission, and provide a graphic example
of the follies of resisting the Balkan dimension of the New World
Order.
THE INSTABILITY
PACT
The
Belgian Empire does not call the Balkans protectorates or anything
like that. What it says is that nations who wish to receive foreign
aid and wish even to think of applying to join the EU must
join the Stability Pact. The applicant country agrees to accept
European legal norms and European policy decisions (for example
they accept the Euro) in return for – well aid. Nevertheless,
why would politicians in Bulgaria, Serbia or Albania do this sort
of thing? To put it bluntly it is a business decision. In Bosnia,
which seems to be a model for most of this neo-colonialism, foreign
aid does not reach the genuinely needy until the various politicians
get considerable finders’ fees. Bosnian politicians can be sacked
at will because they are not servants of the people but servants
of the occupying powers. It is rather a shock to the West to come
across a politician, like Milosovic, who has his own private sources
of wealth and his own agenda.
BY THE
FRUITS, YOU WILL KNOW THEM
Look
at the results thus far, the Macedonians are given a clean
bill of health after rigging
their elections. Croatia runs a relatively clean election
and the West responds with warnings that an HDZ reelection will
not be accepted under any circumstances. Serbia is bombed for
ethnic cleansing, while the KLA
is given the mildest slap on the wrist. Kosovo and Montenegro
take up the Deutschmark, and Bosnia shadows it. Serbian towns
are given aid if their councils oppose Milosovic, while the Bulgarian
governing party, thanks to plentiful foreign aid, is more corrupt
and repressive
than their communist opponents are. Montenegro
rewards draft dodgers, a move designed to provoke
a reaction from Serbia. Even comparatively advanced countries
such as Hungary
balk at the costs of needless military expenditure. The rationale
is that if this area is all put together
under a beneficent overlord they will all start getting on.
Only one problem, it has been tried already and both the Ottoman
Empire and Yugoslavia fell apart.
THE BALKAN
ATTRACTION
Why
does the EU want to take over the area that Bismarck said was
"not worth the bones of a Pomeranian Grenadier"? The
Balkans in particular where chosen because the EU has nowhere
else to play Empires. Although Oswald Moseley, the prophet of
British pro-Europeanism, talked of "Europe a Nation, Africa
an Empire", Africans are rather proud of their hard won independence,
even in Somalia. This goes for pretty much anywhere else in the
world. Except perhaps the Balkans, where minds seem to be concentrated
by the presence
of Russia and quite dire
poverty cheek by jowl with European prosperity.
THE RISE
OF THE BELGIAN EMPIRE
Why
does Europe want an Empire at all? The economic gains are negligible,
although the economic disaster of the Euro has shown that economics
comes a poor second behind politics. It is hard to remember overt
imperialism. For the last two generations honest imperialism has
been confined to the history textbooks and the inscrutable Russians
and Chinese. Much of Western Europe has in fact been going through
a painful process of decolonisation, and America’s small scraps
of formal empire have been mostly given away. However, empires
fill a useful role for otherwise unviable countries that can best
be summed up in the phrase "war is the health of the State".
Now Britain is finding this out with the relatively recent outburst
of Scottish Nationalism. Why were the Scots the most conspicuously
British subjects in the last century yet want nothing to do with
Britain in this? The reason was that when Britain ruled the waves,
Scotland seemed to be a distraction. However when the choice is
being part of one medium sized power or your own medium sized
power, the idea of Britishness seems somewhat less attractive.
Per capita, the Scots sent out far more emigrants than England.
Now there is no imperial project the differences between these
two English speaking, politically liberal, Protestant peoples
is highlighted rather than minimised.
THE LESSONS
OF THE WEST
An
empire also means that the central government becomes more powerful
than the states. Nothing helped the American federal government
in their constant battle to take centralise the state’s powers
more than Federal control over Western lands. The ceding of all
western claims by the states when the constitution was written
gave the Federal government the excuse to build a superstructure
of internal government. No federal police were needed, or wanted,
in the thirteen states, but Federal marshals were active in the
"Wild West". At a time when the constitution was more
than an historical document, the Federal Government was given
a large shelter under which to construct its activities. The curiously
un-Jeffersonian Louisiana Purchase not only more than doubled
the Federal realm, but also made permanent the Government debt.
With the cavalry needed to police the wilderness a case for an
internal standing army could be made, who could then be used to
coerce states which talked of secession or nullification. The
advocates and opponents of slavery largely accepted that they
could not force slave or free soil states to change their ways.
However, the Federal government did have the power to force the
territories to become slave or free soil. Indeed the very way
in which the right to secession was viewed had changed due to
the federal presence on Western lands. Whereas pre-existing states
that joined the Union could claim that they had the right to secede
from a Union, those that were carved out of Federal territory
could not be alienated from their federal parent. I know its rubbish
(especially considering the fact that Virginia and Texas had a
clear right to secede) but to many it was convincing rubbish.
AMERICAN
BOYS WILL NOT BE COMING HOME
Let
me clear up one misconception now. American troops will not be
brought back home if the Europeans integrate their armies. If
there is an integrated EU army and no noticeable increase in military
spending or decrease in commitments, the effect will be negligible.
In fact it will be worse as the State Department can say to impatient
Republicans "look the EU is doing something",
when in fact nothing on the ground has changed. Is there a higher
chance that the French, British and Germans will be more
willing to spend tax money on increased
military expenditure if the armed forces are not recognisably
theirs? Is there a higher chance that the Europeans will be less
willing to commit troops to all wars going if the body bags
are going through someone else’s airport? The questions should
answer themselves. Europe’s problem is about over-ambition not
a lack of integration. Britain, for example has drastically cut
its Territorial Army and funneled the savings into a "Rapid
Reaction Force", hardly a move in the direction of a
peaceful world. Europe can adequately defend itself without military
integration, American involvement or even a massive increase in
defence expenditure. How? They can do this by concentrating on
defence and not aggression. But a belligerent Europe will
get itself into a large number of scraps, expecting America to
rescue it whenever the going gets tough. America must stop underwriting
European belligerence, not just for the sake of the Balkans and
America, but for the people of Europe themselves.
EVERY
EMPIRE NEEDS AN ARMY
An
empire would also give a boost to another symptom of the State,
an integrated EU army. The decision to move
the responsibility of policing Kosovo to the EU can be seen
as part of this pattern. Nevertheless, it is not primarily as
just another empty symbol of state that a European army is needed,
but as a final guarantee of European Union. There is a fear that
haunts Brussels that a large member may withdraw because of economic
pressure or a number of court
cases changing
their political system. Indeed in Britain, there is a small
but active withdrawal movement. If it is made clear that any attempt
at withdrawal will be met with force, then maybe potential secessionists
will think again. It may be a misjudgment of European character
(there will more likely be civil war rather than a craven surrender)
but it is a potent threat nonetheless. The plain fact is that
a European Army is needed for internal repression. A British army
would find it hard to fire on its own people if they had democratically
decided to leave the EU. Foreign troops would have fewer scruples
(as would British troops if they were abroad – in Serbia, say).
To dismiss the army as a pointless
token of statehood or as something
that annoys the Americans is missing the point. It is intended
as an instrument of repression.
AMERICA'S
ROLE
America
is the guarantor of this process. In true Orwellian fashion, where
war is peace and slavery is freedom, intervention is disengagement.
A European Army is seen as a positive thing, her troops are coming
home. Do not be fooled. A European Army will defend Europe no
better. Operational problems brought into being by national antagonisms,
the Babel of languages and the unwillingness of taxpayers to pay
for a mostly foreign army may make a European Army worse at defending
Europe than its predecessors. Europe needs a sober reassessment
of just what are vital national interests. It does not need a
palliative of a common army and America should stop underwriting
this European belligerence, or there will be blood, very possibly
my blood, in London streets when the Empire wishes to control
rebellious provinces.