CHINESE
EAT PORK – TURKS DON’T
Versions
of history differ greatly: Chinese students refer to the Yuan dynasty
– the one installed by Kublai Khan, son of the Ghengis Khan
– as the largest extent of the Chinese Empire. Xinjiang was
merely a Chinese territory overrun by hairy yangren (barbarians)
and the Imperial Army just liberated it.
Uzbeks
and Uighers disagree. Turkestan, as mentioned above, has lost its
Eastern edge to the Yellow Horde. The Imperial Russian Army conquered
Central Turkestan in the 19th century – during the glorious
period of the "Great Game." If one area can free itself…
Hence
China’s and Russia’s need to stabilize relations and create an organization
legitimizing territorial integrity for all time.
CHOOSING
THE BIG GUY
Speaking
of territorial integrity…
Macedonia
recently dumped Taiwan in favor of its larger and increasingly more
influential neighbor China – to China’s eternal delight. Much of
New China’s foreign policy rests on two pillars: unification and
territorial integrity.
Taiwan
relies on financial aid for friends – and I thought that was just
a schoolyard joke – and when that money isn’t available, loyalties
quickly shift.
China
is a Security Council member, vocal critic of NATO’s Balkan expeditions
and knows what it is to face territorial dissolution. Hopefully,
Macedonia will be able to use this to their advantage, unlike in
the past in 1999, after Macedonia established ties with Taiwan,
China vetoed an extension of the UN peacekeeping mission in Macedonia.
The
oil pipelines and cheap infrastructure that compel the West to "intervene"
in the Balkans are not out of China’s grasp. The newly created SCO
establishes a counterweight to Western influence in the area, including
the Western-backed TRANSCECA program which would create a "a transport
corridor on a west-east axis from Europe, across the Black Sea,
through the Caucasus and the Caspian Sea to Central Asia,"
according
to an Asia Times article by Sergei Blagov.
Increased
ties with the Balkans and a regional cooperative organization in
Central Asia are critical steps towards creating a multi-polar world
(as opposed to the USA's "indispensable nation" model), with New
China atop one of those poles.
THE
RIVAL TO THE EAST
For
2000 years divine winds and fixed bayonets have brought victory
to Japan over China. Although Chinese culture heavily influenced
the Japanese language and customs, it’s been a relationship tilted
in favor of the islands.
But
the "glorious Communist Party, which heroically resisted the Japanese
aggressors" in a bloody war of attrition, has brought China to a
new level. China, with its increasing economic power, may soon replace
Japan as the engine of the East. A current trade war between the
two provides a glimpse into the future, as China invokes the WTO
to support its stance.
Chinese
exports to Japan grew threefold between 1997 and 2000 according
to the Japan External Trade Organization – China is now Japan’s
second largest source of imports behind the US. Japanese investment
in China, and the increasing technological exchange, has equalized
the trade relationship between the two countries, and in some instances
given China an advantage.
Agriculture
is China’s strength in terms of exports and coupled with low labor
costs the result can be a large trade deficit for a country like
Japan ($24.9 billion and counting), which imports $46 billion on
food.
So
when imported mushrooms rose by 33% in 2000, threatening Japanese
farmers’ livelihoods, the Japanese government imposed curbs on Chinese
agriculture imports. Tariffs rose as high as 266% on Chinese produce,
ranging from mushrooms to leeks to tatami rushes.
China
declares Japan’s curbs to be in violation of WTO discrimination
rules: 90% of the tariffs effect Chinese goods. Although not yet
a WTO member, China feels justified imposing 100% tariffs on Japanese
automobiles, mobile phones and air conditioners. And according to
the "rules," China is justified.
But
this comes on the heels of a $100 million deal between Nokia and
Beijing Mobile Communications Co. (MCC). Nokia provides infrastructure,
switching equipment, base stations, training, implementation and
project management for the Chinese operator.
The
trade war over mushrooms should not disrupt trade relations too
much in the long term – Nokia alone has $1.7 billion invested in
China and a keen interest in dispute resolution. This shows not
only the obvious economic strength of China, but its willingness
and desire to flex muscles and use existing international institutions
– however flawed they may be – to back its actions.
The
People’s Daily editorial commemorating the 80th
anniversary of the founding of the Communist Party is entitled,
"Sailing Through the Rough Sea to Achieve Our Goal of World Significance."
Joining
hands with Russia in Central Asia, revitalizing Balkan ties, drafting
alternatives to Anglo-American "smart sanctions" against Iraq, facing
its old island rival on even terms, moving "fishing boats" into
the Spratly’s – all are examples of the New China’s "world significance"
and the vision of the Communist Party to create its own version
of globalization.
Even
if Beijing’s bid for the 2008 Olympics proves unsuccessful, the
revamping of the city will be justified in the eyes of its citizens,
who breathe cleaner air, drink cleaner water and have state of the
art sports facilities to enjoy. Perhaps the same could be said for
the Communist Party, should it ever fall. Chinese may forget the
imprisonment, Tiananmen, the Cultural Revolution and corruption,
and just count their blessings as they count their money.
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