Sunday, March 20, 2005
Mixed results two years on
A poignant indicator of how the American occupation is
going two years after the initial invasion of Iraq came
Wednesday. Iraq's National Assembly met, a sign that the new
transitional government chosen in the inspiring elections of
Jan. 30 is beginning to govern. But the meeting was shaken by
a volley of mortar fire that fell only a few hundred yards
short of the assembly hall.
Baghdad is still one of the most dangerous cities in the
world, rocked by daily violence. Mohammed Ghazi Umron, a truck
driver who voted enthusiastically Jan. 30, told the Christian
Science Monitor the roads leading from Baghdad range from
"bad, but I haven't heard of any drivers being killed there in
a few weeks" to "very, very dangerous. We try not to go past
Abu Ghraib."
The assembly meeting Wednesday failed to name a prime
minister, president and other top officials. Shiite and Kurd
members, who together control about two-thirds of the assembly
but have been unable so far to agree on top officials, said
Friday they hope to reach agreement by the next meeting,
scheduled for March 25 or 26. Numerous news stories say
ordinary Iraqis, who experienced something close to euphoria
in the days following the election, are impatient that after
seven weeks the elected politicians can't get their act
together.
Their inability to do so, however, reflects abiding
divisions in a country created arbitrarily by British
colonialists after World War I. Shiites, about 60 percent of
the population, are divided between those who want an Islamic
theocracy and those who want a more secular government. The
Kurds in the north want to maintain the de facto autonomy they
achieved (after much bloodshed) under Saddam Hussein. The
Sunnis, who ruled ruthlessly during Saddam's era, are divided
among active insurgents, those who fear Shiite dominance, and
those seeking to cooperate with the new order.
Violence has not decreased since the elections.
Availability of electricity, water and other utilities is
still sporadic. Oil production has still not recovered to
prewar levels. More than 160,000 coalition troops remain in
the country, a reminder that Iraqis can't handle their own
security.
The picture is not entirely grim. Food is no longer scarce,
landline telephones work more often than not and many Iraqis
now have mobile phones, a luxury forbidden under Saddam.
Internet and satellite telephones are available to those who
can afford them. Streets in Baghdad are lined with fruit
stands, furniture sellers and coffee shops. The number of cars
in Baghdad has tripled in the last two years.
The most recent poll by the International Republican
Institute shows 62 percent of Iraqis believe the country is
headed in the right direction while 23 percent say it is
headed in the wrong direction, the largest postive-to-negative
spread since the invasion.
While 48 percent of Iraqis favor a "special role" for
religion, 44 percent say religion and government should remain
separate.
All this has cost more than 1,500 American lives and about
16,000 wounded. Estimates of Iraqi civilian deaths vary
widely, but the lowest estimates are in the tens of thousands.
The last few weeks have seen Italy, Poland, the Netherlands
and Ukraine announce they would begin pulling out their
troops.
We opposed this war from the beginning and we believe the
United States should withdraw its troops sooner rather than
later, under a sensible exit strategy. While some argue that
chaos would follow an American withdrawal, it is also true
that U.S. troops have become a lightning rod, attracting the
very attacks they are working to prevent.
Saddam Hussein is out of power, which is good. Now it is
time to leave Iraq, for better and for worse, to the
Iraqis. |