According to the Israeli newspaper Haaretz,
someone "close" to President-elect Obama told them that the Obama-Biden-Hillary
administration intends to offer Israel a "nuclear umbrella."
Now, you know what an ordinary umbrella is. And if you can find it and
unfurl it in time, if the rain is coming straight down out of the sky,
and if you are standing directly under it, it can protect you
from getting soaking wet.
Okay, what if it’s extremely windy and the rain is coming at you almost horizontal?
Well, don’t bother unfurling your umbrella.
So, what’s a "nuclear umbrella"?
Presumably, it’s something that, if you can find it and unfurl it in time,
and if the nukes are coming straight down out of the sky, it can protect you
and yours from getting nuked in your jammies.
The Bush-Cheney administration has recently deployed in Israel an early-warning
radar system, enhancing Israel’s ability to detect incoming ballistic missiles.
And as a Major Non-NATO
Ally, Israel has already developed – in cooperation with the United States
– and deployed the Arrow Anti-Ballistic
Missile system, specifically designed to intercept and destroy dozens of
incoming medium-range missiles, particularly those launched from Iran.
Of course, as best the on-the-ground inspectors of the International Atomic
Energy Agency can determine – after years of intrusive inspections – there is
no indication that Iran has ever diverted any of those materials, required
by the Treaty on Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons to be subject to a comprehensive
"Safeguards" Agreement, to a military purpose.
So, if there is any country in the world that is guaranteed to not have
the fissile material absolutely required to make even a crude nuke, much less
a small sophisticated ballistic-missile deliverable nuke, it’s Iran.
Now, Pakistan has nukes, dozens of them, which they claim
are capable of being delivered by medium-range (up to 2,000 km) ballistic missiles,
upon a few minutes notice.
Recall that May 28, 1998, was a red-letter day in the Islamic world. In response
to Indian nuke tests earlier that month, to everyone’s surprise, the Pakistanis
successfully tested several highly-enriched uranium implosion nukes, some of
them allegedly "boosted" with Tritium.
Now, virtually all members of the Organization of the Islamic Conference –
including Saudi Arabia, which may
have bankrolled the Pakistani nuke program – view the Pakistani nukes to
be "Islamic" nukes. And supported their being under the control, until
recently, of Pakistan’s military dictator, Pervez Musharraf, and in the custody
of his Inter Service Intelligence agency.
So did Bush-Cheney-Powell, post 9/11. In 2004 Bush-Cheney-Congress even made
them a Major Non-NATO Ally (like Israel), which made Pakistan eligible for certain
financial and military benefits, reportedly including a covert cooperatively-developed
command, control and physical security system for Pakistan’s nuke stockpile.
Of course, the Pakistani nuke-tipped missiles don’t have sufficient range to
hit Tel Aviv or Haifa.
However, the Pakistani missiles with Islamic nuke warheads do have sufficient
range to hit many cities in India, largely Hindu and consequently, Pakistan’s
But, so important did Bush-Cheney-Powell consider Pakistan’s cooperation in
the War Against Terror then being waged in Afghanistan, they effectively prevented
Israel from selling the U.S.-Israeli co-developed Arrow ABM system to India.
Israel has long been a major supplier of arms to India, second
only to Russia.
- The Indian Air Force base in Agra has recently completed all preparations
to receive several Phalcon airborne warning, command and control systems,
installed by Israel Aircraft Industries on Russian-supplied Il-78 aircraft.
- A year ago, India put into orbit for the Israelis a
Tecsar spy satellite, supposedly to better spy on Iran, but viewed in
the Islamic world as "a sinister tie-up between India and Israel,"
- Several unmanned aerial vehicles, supplied (and perhaps "flown")
by Israel, have recently been shot down over Pakistan.
So, it may be significant that the recent attack in Mumbai by Islamic
terrorists, with the knowledge of, and perhaps even some assistance by, Pakistan’s
ISI, targeted – according to Israeli Prime
Minister Olmert – "Jewish institutions."
Of course, as a result of Condi-Rice’s major diplomatic "triumph"
– getting the IAEA and the Nuclear Suppliers Group to disregard their own rules
and regulations and getting our Congress, as well as the Indian Congress, to
"ratify" the U.S.-India Nuclear Deal – the IAEA-NPT-NSG nuke proliferation-prevention
regime was effectively gutted.
All done by Bush-Cheney-Rice – without regard to the consequences – to put
pressure on Iran. To get India to reject the impending Iran-Pakistan-India
natural-gas Peace Pipeline and to vote "our" way on the IAEA Board
of Governors, illegally requiring Iran to suspend, indefinitely,
all its IAEA Safeguarded nuclear programs.
Of course, no similar nuclear deal was done for our Major Non-NATO Ally Pakistan.
Nor was any thought given to the adverse impact on the lives of Pakistani civilians,
as well as to the prospect of winning the War on Terror on the Afghanistan-Pakistan
border, of depriving Pakistan of much-needed natural gas and the expected "transit"
revenues of the IPI Peace Pipeline.
It is perhaps conceivable that the recent Islamic terrorist attacks on Mumbai
were in some way related to Condi-Rice’s major diplomatic "triumph."
In any case, Obama-Biden-Hillary may now allow, perhaps even encourage, the
sale of the U.S.-Israeli Arrow ABM system to India.
But, back to Obama-Biden-Hillary providing a "nuclear umbrella" to
Israel. Suppose the nukes are not coming straight down out of the sky? Suppose
they’re being delivered by persons unknown via a slow boat from Pakistan or
North Korea to Haifa, for example?
Well, maybe the Obama-Biden-Hillary "nuclear umbrella" is a misnomer.
Haaretz suggests that what will actually be offered Israel approximates
the guarantee proposed by Presidential-Candidate Hillary to "respond to
any Iranian nuclear strike against Israel" with a "devastating U.S.
Okay, since the IAEA can find no indication that Iranians now have – or ever
had – a nuclear weapons program, Secretary of State Hillary can safely make
On the other hand, the IAEA’s repeated reports to the UN Security Council that
(a) there was no indication Iraq had made significant progress on its nuclear
weapons program prior to Gulf War I, (b) that the entire program had been destroyed
by 1992, under their supervision, and (c) that as of February 2003, there had
been no effort to reconstitute that program, didn’t prevent Bush-Cheney from
invading Iraq to "prevent" a nuclear strike by Saddam Hussein against
us or one of our "allies."
So, isn’t it strange that a "senior Bush administration source" reportedly
now says the "nuclear umbrella" offer is "ridiculous."
"Who will convince the citizen in Kansas that the U.S. needs to get
mixed up in a nuclear war because Haifa was bombed?"