Scott Horton Interviews Patrick Doherty

Scott Horton, June 16, 2009

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Patrick Doherty, Deputy Director of the American Strategy Program at the New America Foundation, discusses the Iranian government crackdown that reinforces the perception of electoral fraud, the popular Iranian discontent with autocracy, the dearth of legitimate polling in Iran that increases uncertainty and how Ahmedinejad’s tough negotiating with the U.S. is seen by some as the Persian equivalent of Nixon going to China.

MP3 here. (17:52)

Patrick C. Doherty is Deputy Director of the American Strategy Program at the New America Foundation. The American Strategy Program aims to promote a new American internationalism that combines a tough-minded realism about America’s interests in the world with a pragmatic idealism about the kind of world order best suited to America’s democratic way of life. Mr. Doherty is also Director of the foundation’s U.S.-Cuba 21st Century Policy Initiative, which seeks to take advantage of recent developments to move U.S.-Cuba policy in a more sensible direction to the benefit of both countries. He also serves as a Co-Director of the Counterterrorism and Counterinsurgency Initiative.

Before joining New America, Mr. Doherty was Director of Communications at the Center for National Policy, a congressionally focused national security think tank. He was also a senior editor at TomPaine.com, an online journal of politics and policy based in Washington, D.C., where he was responsible for all content related to national security, macroeconomics, energy, and the environment, and wrote a twice-weekly editorial about America’s strategic challenges.

Mr. Doherty previously spent ten years in the Middle East, Africa, the Balkans and the Caucuses working on conflict management and post-conflict peacebuilding. He served as European Regional Advisor to Catholic Relief Services and as a consultant to the Organization of African Unity in Ethiopia and to the Israeli and the Palestinian Authority’s education ministries. He also taught African politics at the University of the Witwatersrand. Mr. Doherty holds a master’s degree in security studies from the Fletcher School, Tufts University, where he was a co-founder of the Institute for Human Security, and a bachelor’s degree from the School of International Service at American University.

8 Responses to “Patrick Doherty”

  1. After all the sensationalist propaganda gushing from CNN and the BBC and the Pentagon Broadcast Network (PBS) it is good to hear some rational and informed discussion. I wonder how the tens of millions of dollars in CIA funded contrived astroturf dissent are influencing the current situation in Tehran.

  2. who is the west -meaining anglosaxon scvumbags-to ask as to which country is democtratic or not? is briitan democratic?
    does democracy mean piracy and loot of others?
    the briitsh media BBC was urging gore to not cvhallenge florida elelction result 2 days after the eelction. the americansd have conssitently stolen their elelction.
    anglosaxon regularly install unelelctabl;e person in other countries.
    even amalliki in iraq was sintalled because bastard balir went to iraq to not support the first elelcted prime minster who were chosen by the MPs there.
    the tactics of anglosaxon scumbags is to install some stooge through fraud or propaganda -then if theat is not possible then hitre a crwod and use that rented crownd to destablise the country.
    when the anglosaxon bastards thought theat opposotion could win iran elelction then they showed eellction process 0but as soon as the iranins rejected the western stooges -the media started doing propaganda to disctredit the legiti macy of the elction.
    thwe iranian president has won with much larger margin then the bastard nbalir-who must eb given death d=senentence-couldever hope for.

    "What was left for america to do was install maleable stooges inside the thrirld world countries. escpeally those types who are unelctable and have no mass base of their own– in other words who are not elelctable democratically but installed from above through media and other manipulations.
    this manmohan singh in india fulffiled that criteria of being unliked and unelctable insignificant person who was willing to act on arder of his american masters -if they had asked him to turn communist he would have done that.it isa sad refletion on india that since 1986 we have has only weaklings as our prime minsiters and fincnace minsiters not to speak of non mentionable defence misnters who made sure that indians nuclear and missle programme got stuck at 1986."

    this manmohan sihngh has not been eelcted by indian people-but as he is a certified west asttoge you donot hear about that.

    Why the west made no noise about unelected person being isntalled as PM of india-
    because that man-bastard manmohan singh is a west's stooge and he has been installed on behalf of the west on Indian public. this bastard did not win elelction nor he did any electioneering.

    THE INDIAN PUBLIC HAS BEEN BOOTING OUT THE GOVTS. AFTER GOVTS. AS TERM EXPIRES BECAUSE INDIAN PUBLIC DOES NOT WANT SO CALLED LIBERALIZATION AND PIRATE CAPITALIST SUYTEM BUT THE POLITICANS INT EH PAY PACKET OF BUSIENSS MEN AND MEDIA BEING PIMPS OF CAPITAL HAVE BEEN NULLYIFYING TH ELECTION RESULT FOR LAST 15 YEARS. THIS SYSTEM WAS BROUGHT TO INDIA BY THE AMERICAN AGENT MANOHANS SINGH WHO BRIBED THE MPS TO KEEP THE NEAO LIBERAL AGENDA OF HIS UNCLELCTABLE GOVT. BOth IN 1993 and 2008. such people swear a lot by democracy aswell.!!

  3. If I remember the figures in the interview correctly, the poll broke for Mr Dinnerjacket by about 34:14.

    Notwithstanding the claim that this was the 'only scientific' opinion poll done before the election, I frequently heard another figure that Moussavi was leading by something like 60:35.

    How the latter figure was obtained I simply do not know. However, I can see a major flaw in the methodology behind Mr Doherty's poll. It was done over the telephone. In an authoritarian country. Mmm…nobody else see a potential problem here?

    Here's another possible interpretation of the figures. All of those who were going to vote for the incumbent were perfectly happy to admit to it over a non-secure, possibly monitored telephone line. Most of those who supported the opposition candidate were not, for what I think are perfectly understandable reasons. You wouldn't want to take part in a poll, then find yourself being tied to one at dawn.

    (OK, that's probably extreme. I mean it's not like Iran is as repressive a regime as some of our wonderful 'friends' around the world. But still you'd have to have the possibility of retribution in the back of your mind.)

  4. Iran has a population of 70 million with roughly 40 million voters. Mousavi could get nowhere near Ahmadinejad’s numbers even if Rafsanjani’s Gucci crowd was behind him.

    Some people try to view other countries through red, white and blue goggles, for example: did the US expect to be greeted with ‘flowers’ in Baghdad?

    Ahmadinejad and Mousavi acquiesce to Khamenei not Rafsanjani as some may wish it to be. To the Iranian people – who are well aware of Rafsanjani’s intrigues – this is the last throw of the dice for a corrupt Saudi and US backed lapdog and it has all gone wrong.

  5. "Iran has a population of 70 million with roughly 40 million voters. Mousavi could get nowhere near Ahmadinejad’s numbers even if Rafsanjani’s Gucci crowd was behind him."

    Alex, not following your reasoning here. What relevance do these numbers have to the issue?

  6. The realities arguing the other way (as Scot Horton pts out) are compelling,.. i.e., the only way to save the Iraq policy, since Iran were otherwise the clear beneficiary of the destruction of the Baath regime, is to directly go to war with them, -the more honest approach advocated by the neo-cons, or to precipitate a civil war.

  7. Forget about Global Warming. It doesn´t matter. The US aims to achieve a disarming and unanswerable first-strike capability which leads to Launch On Warning and Nuclear War by mistake. The US may get Advanced First-Strike Capability by 2011/12.

  8. [...] ‘Ahmadinejad probably won the Iran election’, two American pollsters wrote in WaPo and the Guardian a couple of days ago. Last week, one of the pollsters, Ken Ballen wrote a favorable article of Iranians wanting regime change, supporting diplomacy with the West, more freedom, but Ahmadinejad was well ahead in their polls. Mr. Ballen was on AntiWar Radio last week before the election and the co-author of this article, Patrick Doherty was on Wednesday to discuss this article. [...]

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