If you were President George W. Bush with all
available US troops tied down by the Iraqi resistance, and you were unable to
control Iraq or political developments in the country, would you also start
a war with Iran?
Yes, you would.
Bush’s determination to spread Middle East conflict by striking at Iran does
not make sense.
First of all, Bush lacks the troops to do the job. If the US military cannot
successfully occupy Iraq, there is no way that the US can occupy Iran, a country
approximately three times the size in area and population.
Second, Iran can respond to a conventional air attack with missiles targeted
on American ships and bases, and on oil facilities located throughout the Middle
East.
Third, Iran has human assets, including the Shi'ite majority population in
Iraq, that it can activate to cause chaos throughout the Middle East.
Fourth, polls of US troops in Iraq indicate that a vast majority do not believe
in their mission and wish to be withdrawn. Unlike the yellow ribbon folks at
home, the troops are unlikely to be enthusiastic about being trapped in an Iranian
quagmire in addition to the Iraqi quagmire.
Fifth, Bush’s polls are down to 34 percent, with a majority of Americans believing
that Bush’s invasion of Iraq was a mistake.
If you were being whipped in one fight, would you start a second fight with
a bigger and stronger person?
That’s what Bush is doing.
Opinion polls indicate that the Bush regime has succeeded in its plan to make
Americans fear Iran as the greatest threat America faces.
The Bush regime has created a major dispute with Iran over that country’s nuclear
energy program and then blocked every effort to bring the dispute to a peaceful
end.
In order to gain a pretext for attacking Iran, the Bush regime is using bribery
and coercion in its effort to have Iran referred to the UN Security Council
for sanctions.
In recent statements President Bush and Pentagon chief Donald Rumsfeld blamed
Iran for the Iraqi resistance, claiming that the roadside bombs used by the
resistance are being supplied by Iran.
It is obvious that Bush intends to attack Iran and that he will use every means
to bring war about.
Yet, Bush has no conventional means of waging war with Iran. His bloodthirsty
neoconservatives have prepared plans for nuking Iran. However, an unprovoked
nuclear attack on Iran would leave the US, already regarded as a pariah nation,
totally isolated.
Readers, whose thinking runs ahead of that of most of us, tell me that another
9/11 event will prepare the ground for a nuclear attack on Iran. Some readers
say that Bush, or Israel as in Israel’s highly provocative attack on the Jericho
jail and kidnapping of prisoners with American complicity, will provoke a second
attack on the US. Others say that Bush or the neoconservatives working with
some "black ops" group will orchestrate the attack.
One of the more extraordinary suggestions is that a low yield, perhaps tactical,
nuclear weapon will be exploded some distance out from a US port. Death and
destruction will be minimized, but fear and hysteria will be maximized. Americans
will be told that the ship bearing the weapon was discovered and intercepted
just in time, thanks to Bush’s illegal spying program, and that Iran is to blame.
A more powerful wave of fear and outrage will again bind the American people
to Bush, and the US media will not report the rest of the world’s doubts of
the explanation.
Reads like a Michael Crichton plot, doesn’t it?
Fantasy? Let’s hope so.