Since
the end of the Cold War, the United States has sought to
maintain its hegemony over Europe by arguing that NATO is
all that separates the continent from chaos. In the Middle
East, the argument was a little different. There the United
States claimed that an American presence was necessary to
counter the so-called "rogue states" now
known as "states of concern" and their
weapons of mass destruction. Washington assigned to Israel
the task of being its chief adjutant in the region. The
United States and Israel set about creating an anti-missile
defense system. As a result, Israel obtained access to the
most up-to-date US antimissile technology. And it deployed
the Arrow antimissile system.
Last
November, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak exulted over
the US-Israeli strategic partnership: "The proliferation
of weapons of mass destruction, the nuclear programs of
extremist regimes and the spread of state-sponsored terrorism
are threats directed at Israel, at the United States, indeed
at all democracies around the world. It is therefore the
responsibility of the international community to develop
effective security cooperation to confront these threats
together. There is no finer example than the close strategic
ties and intelligence cooperation that flourishes between
the United States and Israel. The Arrow was developed by
our two countries to counter the ground-to-ground missiles
that are in the hands of rogue and extremist regimes. Our
friends in Washington know that support for Israel is in
the American national interest. Ours is a partnership united
by a common understanding of the existing threats and dangers
to our way of life."
Contrary
to the claims of Israel's ardent champions, the Arrow system
was never a joint American-Israeli project. Though the official
story holds that the United States underwrote two-thirds
of the estimated $1.6 billion cost while Israel picked up
the tab for the remainder, the truth is the Arrow-2 missile
defense project was, from start to finish, a US-financed
venture. The Arrow project began in 1988 when the Israeli
government signed a memorandum of agreement with the United
States Strategic Defense Initiative Organization, renamed
the Ballistic Missile Defense Organization in 1993. According
to a 1993 General Accounting Office (GAO) report, the United
States had paid $553.4 million of the Arrow project's $579.5
million cost as of the end of fiscal year 1995 a sum considerably
in excess of two-thirds. What is often overlooked is that
the US "share" comes directly from the Pentagon
budget, while $97.9 million of Israel's $124 million "share"
comes from Israel's annual $1.8 billion military aid grant
from the United States. Thus as of 1995 Israel had only
put in $26.1 million of its own money, or five percent of
the cost. In effect, the Arrow system has been turned over
to Israel virtually for free. Israel is the only country
in the world with a deployed Arrow system. The United States
has no plans of its own to deploy Arrow. US taxpayers have
thus funded a military program that the United States has
no intention of using.
To
be sure, the Arrow system may well turn out to be a dud.
Decoys and counter-measures can easily confuse missile defenses.
Moreover, nuclear, chemical and biological warheads are
capable of causing enormous damage even if they are destroyed
high in the atmosphere. Warheads can easily be made to disintegrate
into innumerable small warheads. A Missile defense system
like Arrow can be overwhelmed with a barrage of cheap, unsophisticated
Scud-class missiles.
More
important, however, is the overt American-Israeli strategic
partnership. Following the 1998 meeting at Wye, President
Clinton and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu signed a memorandum
of agreement "on the potential threat to Israel posed
by the proliferation of ballistic missiles and weapons of
mass destruction in the region." The agreement includes
a "new mechanism for enhancing cooperation in dealing
with this potential threat." The agreement reaffirmed
the "long term commitment of the US to maintain Israel's
qualitative edge" and committed the United States to
strengthening Israel's "defensive and deterrent capabilities."
When, some months later, a reporter asked Netanyahu about
the supposedly poor relations between Tel Aviv and Washington
that marked his years in power, Netanyahu countered: "For
the first time, the United States committed itself to assist
Israel in finding answers to ballistic and other dangers
that threaten us. Also, the United States is committed to
enhancing Israel's deterrence. That was never said in the
past." Netanyahu's comment was revealing. The United
States was now on board helping to develop Israel's deterrent
capability in effect its nuclear program. The United States
in the past has turned a blind eye to Israel's nuclear program.
Now, for the first time ever, the United States is committing
itself to modernizing Israel's strategic deterrent.
In
addition to developing Israel's strategic deterrence capabilities,
the United States has been busy promoting something called
the Cooperative Defense Initiative (CDI) a region-wide early-warning
system against missile threats based on a rapid exchange
of information between the countries of the Persian Gulf
and the Pentagon. The CDI includes the members of the Gulf
Cooperation Council Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates,
Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait and Oman in addition to Egypt and
Jordan. Recently, Washington managed to persuade a reluctant
Egypt to buy two improved Patriot batteries to defend itself
against incoming missiles. "Shared early warning, the
development of active and passive defenses to deal with
chemical and biological weapons, and methods for dealing
with the potential consequences of a chemical or biological
attack, are all very important parts of the Cooperative
Defense Initiative," Defense Secretary Cohen explained
following a visit to the Persian Gulf last November.
The
Cooperative Defense Initiative involves the creation of
a seamless network of surveillance systems, from the Gulf
through the Middle East to Turkey, supervised by the United
States, against Iran and Iraq and anyone else who will not
tow the US line. The CDI depends on shared early warning
among the countries in the region and the use of common
weapon platforms for a coordinated response in a crisis.
It is said to have five pillars: active defense, passive
defense, shared early warning, consequence management and
medical countermeasures.
Shared
early warning involves multilateral cooperation. The United
States is setting up a system to warn of a missile launch.
This requires an interoperable communications network. Active
defense means intercepting and destroying missiles. Israel
has the Arrow. Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have the Patriot.
Passive defense includes the provision of protective gear
and medical stockpiles. It also entails making sure that
armed forces are prepared to work in a contaminated environment,
and determining how a contaminated environment would be
cleaned up. US and regional medical experts have been meeting
to discuss the problems associated with an attack by a weapon
of mass destruction. Consequence management happens once
a weapon explodes or an accident occurs. The Pentagon has
already been helping to train first responders in 120 US
cities how to recognize what is happening and what to do.