On COI #201, Kyle Anzalone and Connor Freeman cover the latest on the JCPOA talks, Tel Aviv’s efforts to sabotage diplomacy, and Joe Biden’s efforts to placate the Israelis.
Connor reports on the Americans’ unfair criticisms of Iran. They say Tehran’s delegation in Vienna is not taking the indirect negotiations seriously. The Europeans regurgitate the same tired rhetoric. But Biden’s administration has imposed new sanctions on Iran, they constantly say time is running out, and they have issued myriad threats that all “options” are on the table.
This highly aggressive U.S. posture in the midst of ongoing efforts to reach an agreement, is leading Iranian diplomats to say it is Washington that refuses to take the talks seriously.
Concurrently, the Israelis are banging war drums, imploring the U.S. to abandon the talks, as well as attempting to prevent Iran and their Sunni neighbors from establishing positive relations. Israel’s top officials are openly discussing attacking Iran with American officials as well. A New York Times report recently revealed that Tel Aviv consulted with Washington before covertly attacking Iran’s civilian nuclear program in June. This apparently occurred again before another Israeli sabotage attack in Iran months later.
This is part and parcel of the “maximum pressure” campaign Biden continues to pursue: a combination of American sanctions, threats, and Israeli attacks.
Kyle and Connor then discuss the Russians and the Chinese interests in seeing a U.S. return to the nuclear deal, along with possible outcomes including whether the deal is dead or not, if the Europeans are going to put forward a counter draft proposal, and the “coma option.”
Subscribe on YouTube and audio-only.
Well, that’s what happens when AIPAC and other Zionist lobbies are allowed to contribute to Wash. campaigns and then it’s payback time with American lives and more of our stolen wages. Wash. is a runaway train taking America to WWIII that will be fought on three fronts, Asia, Eurasia and Middle East. Protect yourself and your children of draft age.
AIPAC doesn’t contribute to campaigns.
🤣🤣🤣
After 70 years on the sidelines, AIPAC will now officially fundraise for politicians
https://www.timesofisrael.com/after-70-years-on-the-sidelines-aipac-will-now-officially-fundraise-for-politicians/
Good. Now it will be easier to see where the money is coming from and who it’s going to.
The money comes from us and goes to them… That can and will never change.
The only thing that’s good about it is now that Jeffrey Epstein is out of commission the Zios can’t rely solely on blackmail anymore to get their way.
But they will get their way, something else that’s not going to change.
You are such a liar! The American Israel Public Affairs
Committee is a lobbying group that advocates pro-Israel policies to the
Congress and Executive Branch of the United States. The current
president of AIPAC is Betsy Berns Korn.
AIPAC is a 501(c)(4) organization, and as such cannot and does not make campaign contributions.
That’s a fact.
You don’t have to like the fact that it’s a fact.
It’s a fact whether you like the fact that it’s a fact or not.
Facts are important and deserve careful attention when making statements, whether you find those facts convenient or not.
There are fundraising rooms down every hall at the AIPAC conference.
The AIPAC website states: “One of the most effective ways to impact American support for Israel is to ensure those who support the U.S.-Israel relationship in Congress, and those running for office, have the financial support of the pro-Israel community.”
And here’s a first-hand report from M.J. Rosenberg, who did two stints as an AIPAC employee and 20 years as an aide on Capitol Hill:
https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/aipac-omar-israel-congress-anti-semitism/
Correct. Thanks for affirming what I said: AIPAC doesn’t make campaign contributions.
They certainly find ways to help campaign contributions get made.
But they don’t make campaign contributions.
While being a stickler for accuracy, how’s that “200 COVID deaths” estimate going for you?
The same way it was going when I made it, which was never.
Perhaps I’m mistaken, but I recall someone here made that estimate back in 2020. When I suggested 200,000, they then argued that as long as it was below 100,000, they were still correct. I hope the idiot who said that is satisfied with the 1,000,000 dead we’re going to end up with. If that wasn’t you, then I’m sure you’re happy it wasn’t.
I will cheerfully admit to having been incorrect early on (early March) about the likely number of fatalities in 2020. But that wasn’t here in comments at Antiwar.com, it was in a private bet made elsewhere — a bet which I paid off as soon as it became clear that I’d been wrong (which was VERY quickly), after which I quit making such predictions. The number I had in mind at that early point was 10,000, not 200.
OK. The individual I had in mind specifically said 200, and when called on it with the fact that 200,000 was the figure (estimated at the time), he said as long as it was less than 100,000, he would be technically correct. When the case count hit 200,000, I was going to remind him of that – but then I never got around to it. And now I can’t find the thread on the Wayback Machine. Oh, well.
At the current death rate. we’re looking at another 100,000 this month, and probably the same in January and February. 1,000,000 is a virtual certainty.
“At the current death rate. we’re looking at another 100,000 this month, and probably the same in January and February. 1,000,000 is a virtual certainty.”
Are we talking US or global?
Globally, at the current death rate (7-day average of 4,866), we’re looking at another 29,196 this month (probably less since that average is trending down).
In the US, at the current death rate (7 day average of 1,564), we’re looking at another 9,384 this month, but that average is trending up.
But yes, a million is a virtual certainty, espeically if omicron is deadlier than it appears to be and doesn’t drive out the previous, deadlier variants very quickly.
Daily case rate as of the 24th is
197,358. Got to keep up with the Omicron rate of increase. 7-14 day averages are too slow. It is true that the increase in cases is 65% but the increase in deaths is only 3%, reflecting the lower lethality. But deaths also trail cases by 2-4 weeks. As everyone is warning, even if the lethality is less, the sheer number of cases means a high death toll. So there won’t be a downward trend.
Basically everyone who hasn’t caught it is going to (unless they live in the boonies) and due to the high probability of reinfection, an unknown number of people who caught another variant before and/or were vaccinated are going to catch it. I don’t necessarily believe the recent model by one university that showed 140 million new cases over the next two month, but I think we will hit X million a month.
Another thing people keep forgetting is how many people in the US have underlying conditions. The total is close to 100 million which is why the initial models in 2020 showed the possibility of a couple million dead. That basic problem hasn’t changed.
Hey, I’m not the one who specified “the current death rate.” If you meant something else, fine, but why not say what you mean?
You’re right, I misused “current”. What I meant was based on a likely increasing rate of death from the current level. Also I read a number the other day that was supposed to be a one-day total which was likely wrong or perhaps was intended to be global and I based my estimate on that.
Still, I wouldn’t put another 100,000 a month out of the question if the case rate shoots into the millions. Supposedly the recent model predicts 2,800 deaths per day at its peak in mid-February. That would be close to 100,000 at the peak.
The other problem is the model says most of the cases will be asymptomatic so the actual case rate will be unknown. So the death *rate* will be low, but the physical number of deaths may still be high, if not higher than previous waves.
We’ll see.
I don’t disagree. I won’t be surprised if the US hits the million death mark fairly early in 2022.
On the other hand, I also won’t be surprised if omicron 1) displaces other variants and 2) dramatically lowers death rates. That’s going to happen at SOME point with one or more variants. Even the “zero COVID” public policy types are finally admitting that it’s not going to be “defeated,” but rather will become endemic.
That’s what the evolutionary path of a very contagious virus that infects humans looks like. It gets more contagious and less deadly. Viruses that kill their hosts aren’t as good at propagating themselves as viruses that give their hosts the sniffles. The family of viruses we’ve referred to as “the common cold” since the 1500s may well have killed bunches of humans early on.
The idea that viruses always evolve to become benign is controversial. I’ve read a few articles that argue against it. The science isn’t confirmed. A second theory is called the “trade-off model” which argues that it depends on the length of time between infection and death. Others argue that it depends on acquired immunity to contain a virus more than its evolution. Again, we’ll see in this case.
Not all viruses evolve to become benign. But viruses that are extremely contagious tend to do so, simply because the deadlier variants result in e.g. people quarantining and so forth, reducing their reproductive capacity, while the ones that give you the sniffles get passed around more because nobody’s worried. Evolution is natural selection — the variant that is more successful at reproducing will crowd out the variant that’s less successful at reproducing.
It arranges contributions, so what’s the difference? BFD.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/after-70-years-on-the-sidelines-aipac-will-now-officially-fundraise-for-politicians/
Of course, the USA has always obeyed her little Brother ISRAHELL
I guess the fact that Iran is surrounded by nations that already possess nuclear weapons doesn’t matter. 🙄