Conflicts of Interest: Will Israeli and American Attacks Push Iran to Make Nukes?

On COI #701, Kyle Anzalone discusses the impact of US and Israeli attacks on Iran.

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7 thoughts on “Conflicts of Interest: Will Israeli and American Attacks Push Iran to Make Nukes?”

  1. No. As I've argued ad infinitum, and as Iran has repeatedly stated, nuclear weapons are useless unless you have enough to be a credible threat to your equally nuclear armed enemy and also have enough delivery systems to be a credible threat and also that you can develop them before you are attacked.

    Iran can not do that before it is attacked by its nuclear armed enemies, Israel and the US.

    You don't develop nuclear weapons in the middle of a war. The only reason the US was able to do so is because the mainland was not under attack by either Germany or Japan. If Iran tries that, the development locations will be found and nuked before it can produce enough to be a credible threat.

    Iranians are not morons and suggesting that they will reverse course now is basically racist. They understand the above, which is why Iran's entire defense posture is around its geographical size, large population, large army (960,000) and militia (1-10 million), and a very large (relative to the region) conventional short-, medium- and long-range missiles inventory (estimated at 3,000 or more.)

    People who ask the question in the title have not spent five minutes thinking it through. They just assume, "Hey, a nuke makes me all powerful". No, it doesn't. Learn something about strategic nuclear doctrine. The Iranians have.

  2. My hope is that Russia immediately provides nuclear capable/armed missiles to Iran along with technicians to operate them.

    Establish deterrence—until that happens US and Israel will keep attacking Iran with conventional weapons. Face it, Iran will be sanctioned and sanctioned regardless.

    1. Not going to happen. And doesn't need to, as I pointed out.

      Also there is no such thing as "deterrence" when you're dealing with crazies. All you can do is destroy them. Look at Russia: the US wants to keep attacking. Only the Pentagon is holding back WWIII because some people there know the end result. But that's not stopping Lindsay Graham. And eventually he'll get what he wants.

      1. Well… We disagree.
        Israel will just keep attacking Iran with US provided weapons while the USA along with its Western lackeys will keep sanctioning Iran to the same level regardless if it has nukes.
        Unfortunately nuclear weapons are the great equalizer.
        USA was able to invade Iraq because it did not have nukes.
        They did the same for Libya.
        The neocons led by their aipac minders have the same plans for Iran.

  3. Iran should have made nukes long ago. The same goes for other enemies and frenemies of the West. Iraq should have kept its WMD, Syria and Libya should have had them. It's good North Korea has them to keep its enemies out of its territory.

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