Worse than Saddam

Before driving to Ramadi on Wednesday, we spent the night at the home of a Shia family in Sadr City. ‘There is no difference between Falluja and Sadr City,’ said Nassir Salman, a barber who was working late. ‘They are fighting and we are fighting. Inshallah , there will be jihad. But we are jealous of Falluja. We are waiting for our leaders to declare jihad. Now, it is worse than Saddam. He killed secretly – but the Americans kill us on the streets.’

Read the article. It’s illuminating.

Email from Iraq

Josh Marshall posts this email he received from Baghdad. He describes the sender as”a friend of mine who spent a career in US military intelligence specializing in counter-terrorism, now in Iraq working as a contractor providing security for companies and NGOs.”

The fighting two nights ago was loud and widespread throughout the northern and northwestern parts of Baghdad … areas such as Yarmouk, Sadr City had almost continuous gunfights and rocket attacks. When we heard US forces using the main gun on M-1 tanks at 1 AM we knew it was serious insurgency at hand. The night is no longer the refuge and domain of the Americans. I have to tell you although the wide open areas of Iraq give a false sense of security. Even though much of this is unseen to most people the situation has gone from bad to really bad to unbelievably bad! Westerners are getting hit everywhere. Security companies escorting CPA, themselves and other Westerners are now on the menu for all the armed resistance groups. There was a report of a massive ambush by one security firm that tried to drive in from Amman. Reports have 25-40 gunmen opening up on them. They lost all of their vehicles and had to be given a mercy lift by a passing Iraqi minivan. Several other firms lost western security personnel killed this week in drive-by ambushes and even a seige by the Sadr Militia. Several NGOs, security firms and military bases were literally under siege for days in Kut, Nasiriyah and Baghdad. The boldness and sophistication of the attacks is staggering and it is clear that every one of the resistance fighters and Islamic militiamen have taken heart at the ease of inflicting damage on the Westerners. The abductions of the Japanese hostages is a sign that we have entered a new phase of bad as abduction requires a permissive environment for the hostage taker.

I refer to this entire mess as the second Intifada of Iraq. The first Intifida was last August in Fallujah when US soldiers killed 15-17 Iraqis and Fallujah fell into revolt. Vehicles are being hit where they are easiest to find and the security firms who are here to protect the Westerners are taking casualties because the US Army and Marines are literally stretched thin throughout the country and quit over their own capacity to stop the violence. The resistance’s combat operational center of mass is and will continue moving from known mass resistance organizations (such as uniformed Badr Brigade) to small leaderless or autonomous teams or supporters who are now deciding to do what they please to the first target available. Those targets are easy … Westerners. Any and all. This burst of energy won’t last long though …

I suspect we will have a cool down period in the next few days or within a week but it will be simply to “re-arm and re-fuel for re-strike and re-venge.” A true sustained explosion of violence has yet to be coordinated by the myriad of resistance teams but as the independent or semi-centralized resistance groups form, choose leadership and communicate at the internet cafes, you can be pretty sure the second wave of violence is going to come and it will be equally, if not more, dramatic. This time it won’t be men in black uniforms, they have learned that lesson in Najaf … They will shift to urban terrorism and un-uniformed attacks. God forbid if Sadr is killed or captured … then we have an entire second front that won’t give up until we leave.

General Kimmet is wrong if he thinks that he will destroy the Badr brigade or Sadr Army as a military organization because there isn’t really one … he will disperse them into small, highly armed teams of friends and … voila! Al Qaeda-Iraq or Hezbollah-Iraq will be borne in numbers we will not be able to control. Since the ICDC [the Iraqi Civil Defense Corps] seem to have run off and joined the opposition in Nasiriyah it may reflect the true loyalties of the new Iraqi army and Police. No one is going to cross their family, tribe or religious community for the Americans.

The correct answer is to back off, leave Sadr alone and start to throw lots of money into jobs projects and utilities for the south before this summer’s electricity and gas shortages … will that work? Probably not. But we have just antagonized the core of the Shiite resistance and putting them to work is better than letting them fight us 24/7. General Sanchez is right about one thing … this is not Vietnam … Oh no, its not that easy. I refer you to Israel humiliating defeat in Southern Lebanon by Hezbollah’s armed resistance for a reference to our potential future.

Via Sean-Paul’s Iraq Update XI

Kathy Kelly’s Prison Address

Kathy Kelly, a leader of Voices in the Wilderness, is now serving time in prison in Illinois for her activities to oppose the war in Iraq.

She would appreciate hearing from supporters and friends, including giving her the latest antiwar news. She has no Internet access, so printouts of Antiwar.com stories and front pages would no doubt be appreciated.

Kathy Kelly #04971-045
FPC Pekin
PO Box 5000
Pekin, IL 61555-5000

You may also write to her co-defendant, Rev. Jerry Zawada:
Jerome Zawada, OFM #04995-045
FPC Oxford, P.O. Box 1085
Oxford, WI, 53952

Radio Address From Mars

Apparently George “I Don’t Read Newspapers” Bush is still isolated from world events in his Wahington Neocon bubble. Here’s an AP report on his Saturday radio address. Illustrations mine.

Bush vows to defeat ‘small faction’ of Iraqi insurgents

Saturday,April 10,2004,11:05 AM

Crawford, Texas-AP — President Bush says the U-S military and its allies won’t let insurgents win the battle in Iraq.

Teenagers, U.S. troops in confusing Baghdad battle

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In today’s weekly radio address, the president said a small faction is trying to seize power as the date nears for Iraqi sovereignty.

U.S. Forces in Iraq Pull Out of Baghdad’s Sadr City

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Bush says the insurgents want the U-S to falter and delay the turnover of sovereignty — scheduled for June 30th.

US-picked Iraqi leaders blast Fallujah offensive

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But Bush is vowing to take the fight to the enemy.

Withdraw or face revolution!

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He says a coalition of forces will fight on many fronts until the enemies are defeated.

US fights to keep its Iraqi allies on board

U.S. allies grow uneasy as Iraq roils

Koizumi govt in crisis over kidnap

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Much of the heavy fighting in recent weeks has centered around the city of Fallujah — making it the symbol of resistance for some Iraqis.

One US marine killed, one wounded since Fallujah ceasefire

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Bush says U-S Marines are taking control of the city, block by block.

Clashes erupt in Baghdad, US offers Fallujah truce

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